We publish our calls before the surf happens.
Every evening we call the next morning's surf at three named breaks. Every morning we grade the call against what actually showed up. Hits, misses and the awkward ones — all of it stays on this page.
Why bother
A new forecast app asking you to trust its numbers is just noise. So we're not asking. We're publishing dated calls in advance, grading them by rules we wrote down first, and leaving the misses up. Judge the record, not the marketing.
The public ledger opens with the beta.
The rulebook below is final and the private dry run is under way — we're stress-testing the grading before anything goes on the record. The first public call is dated on this page the day it happens, and from then on it never comes down.
Read the grading rules →The three breaks
One beach, one point, one reef — all well-known spots with a reliable morning vantage. No secret spots. We're not in the business of blowing up breaks.
Sand bottom, shifting banks — the hardest of the three to call and the most honest test.
Rock point with a consistent line-up, so a band call is cleanly checkable from one vantage.
Reef with a fixed take-off zone. Where the sea-floor read either earns its keep or doesn't.
The grading rules
Written and published before the first public call, so nobody gets to move the goalposts afterwards — including us.
- 01
Bands, not decimals
Every call is one of four bands: waist, shoulder, head-high, overhead. A band is gradeable from a photograph. A decimal just invites an argument nobody can settle.
- 02
Called the night before
The call goes public the evening before, timestamped. A forecast published after the fact isn't a forecast.
- 03
One fixed vantage, one fixed window
Each break has a set vantage point and a set morning window. Same spot, same time, every day — no hunting for the angle that flatters us.
- 04
Hit means inside the band
The observed face sits inside the band we called. Outside it is a miss. There is no partial credit and no rescoring after the fact.
- 05
Ties are graded against us
Borderline between two bands? It counts as a miss. If the rule is ambiguous, the ambiguity costs us, not you.
- 06
Misses stay up
A blown call is struck through, never deleted. The running hit rate includes every call we've ever made — that's the entire point of keeping a ledger.
- 07
Graded by someone else where we can
Club members submit the morning photo and the band read. Self-grading is worth less than nothing, so we're getting out of our own way.
Every call, in order
Newest first. Struck-through rows are misses.
No public calls yet. This table fills from the first day of the beta and never empties.
Blown call of the month
The miss we learned the most from, written up dry. If this section is ever empty, assume we're hiding something.
Nothing to report yet — because nothing has been called yet. Check back once the ledger opens.
Calls describe outcomes only — what we said the surf would do, and what it did. Nothing here is a guarantee, and a good record on three breaks is not a promise about yours.